Inequality

Inequality was in the news once again and the news is not particularly good. In a speech, RBI Governor of India commented that increasing inequality could be curtailing world demand. Since the rich typically spend a smaller portion of their income compared with the poor who spend almost all of their income. Most billionaires gained wealth because of their access to natural resources such as land or government contracts.

If Inequality is large or growing in India, there seems to be two key reasons. First, there was death of credible data on income inequality in India. Second, within the economics profession, there was a broad consensus that inequality may often be par for course for a fast growing economy such as India; once it grew richer the tide would turn. Both these aspects are changing. We now have newer sources of evidence on inequality in India. Also, economic thinking on inequality has changed considerably across the globe over the past few years.

Economists were always aware that comparing consumption based inequality in India with income based inequality in other countries was like comparing apples with pears, if not to oranges. Even if the rich earn a lot more than the poor, they are unlikely to spend all of their additional income. Thus consumption based inequality measures are expected to understate income inequality. In terms of income inequality, India seems scarcely better than some of the most unequal countries of Latin America.

Top 1% in India owns more than half of the country total wealth. The richest 5% own 68.6% of the country wealth, while the top 10% have 76.3%. At the other end of the pyramid, the poorer half jostles for 4.1% of the nation wealth. Recent research from the IMF suggests that inequality may in fact harm the growth prospects of an economy. An IMF note published last year put together cross-country evidence suggests that lower initial inequality may facilitate high growth rates for a long duration while high levels of inequality may cause redistributive pressures and lead to an unstable growth path.